A causal modelling for desertion and graduation prediction using Bayesian networks: a Chilean case

Simple item page
datacite.alternateIdentifier.citation2021 IEEE IFAC INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON AUTOMATION/XXIV CONGRESS OF THE CHILEAN ASSOCIATION OF AUTOMATIC CONTROL (IEEE IFAC ICA - ACCA2021),Vol.,,2021
datacite.alternateIdentifier.doi10.1109/ICAACCA51523.2021.9465333
datacite.creatorPeralta, Billy
datacite.creatorSalazar, Jorge
datacite.creatorLevano, Marcos
datacite.creatorNicolis, Orietta
datacite.creatorIEEE
datacite.date2021
datacite.subject.englishBayesian networks
datacite.subject.englishdesertion
datacite.subject.englisheducation
datacite.subject.englishgraduation
datacite.titleA causal modelling for desertion and graduation prediction using Bayesian networks: a Chilean case
dc.date.accessioned2022-11-03T15:22:22Z
dc.date.available2022-11-03T15:22:22Z
dc.description.abstractCurrently the high rates of university dropouts and low graduation are social problems that are very relevant in Chilean society. Predicting these events can allow institutions to take action to avoid them. The typical prediction models based on machine learning are capable of making reliable predictions, however they do not allow to understand the causality that originates both events, which could help to take better actions. This work proposes to find, analyze and weigh the causal relationships that allow predicting whether a student will drop out or will graduate according to the information available using a framework with Bayesian networks. The study is based on real data from the Universidad Catolica de Temuco in Chile collected over three years. The results reveal variables and relevant relationships according the opinion of human experts, which suggest that the proposed model provides better capabilities to represent the causality of university dropout and graduation. From the results we believe that it is feasible to design better retention policies and timely degree at a university.
dc.identifier.urihttps://repositoriodigital.uct.cl/handle/10925/4838
dc.language.isoen
dc.publisherIEEE
dc.source2021 IEEE IFAC INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON AUTOMATION/XXIV CONGRESS OF THE CHILEAN ASSOCIATION OF AUTOMATIC CONTROL (IEEE IFAC ICA - ACCA2021)
oaire.resourceTypeMeeting
uct.indizacionISTP
Files
Collections
MigraciĆ³n Web of Science