Presidential instability in Latin America: Why institutionalized parties matter

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datacite.alternateIdentifier.citationGovernment and Opposition, 56 (4), 704-683, 2021
datacite.alternateIdentifier.doi10.1017/gov.2020.18
datacite.alternateIdentifier.issn0017-257X
datacite.creatorMartínez, Christopher A.
datacite.date2021
datacite.rightsRegistro bibliográfico
datacite.subjectFailed President
datacite.subjectGovernment Crisis
datacite.subjectLatin America
datacite.subjectParty Institutionalization
datacite.subjectSurvival Analysis
datacite.titlePresidential instability in Latin America: Why institutionalized parties matter
dc.description.abstractPedro P. Kuczynski (Peru 2018) and Evo Morales (Bolivia 2019) are the most recent cases in a long list of Latin American presidents who have been forced out of office. We seek to contribute to understanding why some presidents fail to fulfil their terms by analysing the role of an actor overlooked by the extant literature on presidential failures: political parties. We hypothesize a non-linear relation between party institutionalization and the risk of presidential failure. That is, when parties are weakly or highly institutionalized, the hazard of presidential failure is lower than when parties are moderately institutionalized. We test this and other hypotheses with a survival analysis of 157 Latin American administrations (1979-2018). We also qualitatively explore how the occurrence (or non-occurrence) of certain events affects the risk of failure in three countries with different levels of party institutionalization. We find that party institutionalization - as well as legislative support, anti-government demonstrations, presidential scandals and economic growth - significantly affects the risk of presidential failure. © 2021 Elsevier B.V., All rights reserved.
dc.description.ia_keywordpresidential, parties, failure, latin, party, institutionalization, risk
dc.identifier.issn1477-7053
dc.identifier.urihttps://repositoriodigital.uct.cl/handle/10925/4234
dc.language.isoen
dc.publisherCambridge University Press
dc.relationinstname: ANID
dc.relationreponame: Repositorio Digital RI2.0
dc.rights.driverinfo:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess
dc.rights.urihttp://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/3.0/cl/
dc.sourceGovernment and Opposition
dc.subject.ia_oecd1nCiencias Naturales
dc.subject.ia_oecd2nMatemáticas y Estadística
dc.subject.ia_oecd3nMatemáticas
dc.type.driverinfo:eu-repo/semantics/article
dc.type.driverhttp://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_2df8fbb1
dc.type.openaireinfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion
dspace.entity.typePublication
oaire.citationEdition2021
oaire.citationEndPage704
oaire.citationIssue4
oaire.citationStartPage683
oaire.citationTitleGovernment and Opposition
oaire.citationVolume56
oaire.fundingReferenceANID FONDECYT 11160438 (Iniciación)
oaire.licenseConditionCopyright © Elsevier Inc, 2021
oaire.resourceTypeArtículo de revisión
oaire.resourceType.enReview
uct.catalogadorjvu
uct.comunidadCiencias Socialesen_US
uct.departamentoDepartamento de Sociología y Ciencia Política
uct.facultadFacultad de Ciencias Sociales y Humanidades
uct.indizacionSocial Sciences Citation Index - SSCI
uct.indizacionScopus
uct.indizacionPolitical Science Citation Index
uct.indizacionInternational Political Science Abstracts
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